The New York Times
Black Voters Drift From Democrats, Imperiling Harris’s Bid, Poll Shows
Vice President Kamala Harris is on track to win a majority of Black voters, and has brought many back to her party since taking over for President Biden. Still, a significant gap in support persists.
By Maya King Jonathan Weisman and Ruth Igielnik
Oct. 12, 2024
Updated 6:42 a.m. ET
“Pathological liars also tend to be natural performers. They’re eloquent and know how to engage with others when speaking. They’re creative and original, and quick thinkers who don’t usually show common signs of lying, such as long pauses or avoidance of eye contact.” - Healthline
I know a pathological liar. Ask any question. His first response is ALWAYS a lie. Because I knew him well he often would say that's not true and tell the truth.
He was a drug trafficker & future short-eyes sex offender. I was on to him.
Before I met him a judge gave him a choice between prison & Marines.
The first time I saw him he wore a U.S. Marine uniform. The thing is he was AWOL. He was drummed out of the Marines, something difficult to accomplish. .
He was looking for a chance to assault me.
The article below says childhood trauma can trigger pathological lying.
It discusses treatment. His treatment is prison. He has been in and out of prison for several years.
He's creative. He had great potential. He chose crime. He was physiologically damaged by the prolonged death of his mother & overly strict abusive father.
Trump is a world famous pathological liar AND short-eyes sex offender. Lying & speaking are one thing to Trump.
People like Trump because he's a good salesman who finds out what they like and tells them what they want to hear. Trump arranges public appearances to exclude anyone who will call out his lies.
Mary Trump said Donald was damaged by a sociopath father incapable of loving anybody.
Mary Trump: Donald a 'destroyed human being' whose Dad was 'incapable of loving anybody'
Story by Erik De La Garza
His VP, JD Vance knows he’s lying. Vance mostly has a poker face. But when he's caught lying he reacts like a criminal suspect caught lying. I think Vance's facial expression is why nobody likes him. Judging from her physical reactions on video to JD, his wife might not like him.
Like Putin, Vance doesn't really care what voters think. More on that later.
"Someone who lies pathologically may show certain signs, including telling lies with no clear benefit. The lying may be a symptom of another condition and may improve with treatment.
Pathological lying, also known as mythomania and pseudologia fantastica, is the chronic behavior of compulsive or habitual lying.
Unlike telling the occasional white lie to avoid hurting someone’s feelings or getting in trouble, a pathological liar seems to lie for no apparent reason. This can make it frustrating or hard to know what to do if you believe you’ve met one.
Though pathological lying has been recognized for more than a century, there’s not yet a clear universal definition of the condition.
Some pathological lying may result from a mental condition, such as antisocial personality disorder(sometimes called sociopathy), while others appear to have no medical reason for the behavior.
A pathological liar is someone who lies compulsively. While there appears to be many possible causes for pathological lying, it’s not yet entirely understood why someone would lie this way.
Some lies seem to be told in order to make the pathological liar appear the hero, or to gain acceptance or sympathy, while there’s seemingly nothing to be gained from other lies."
MORE AT:
Healthine
Hillary Clinton got it so very wrong in 2016. First, was the INEVITABILITY OF CLINTON Everyone KNEW she would win until election night. Second, Clinton IGNORED THE SEETHING ANGER IN THE “RUST BELT.”
In February of 2016 I wrote:
Trump could easily win PA in November’s Election
AND:
TWO PEOPLE WERE SHOT TO DEATH HOURS ACROSS THE STREET HOURS BEFORE. THE CRUEL DISREGARD OF HUMAN LIFE BY THE PAID CLINTON STAFF INFURIATED ME.
SEE BELOW
***
I thought Clinton vs Trump was 50-50. I didn’t think Hillary would concede at 11pm on Election Day.
The Harris Campaign understands what happened in 2016:
“But it’s clear that both campaigns see the rust belt as decisive.
Trump’s choice of JD Vance, the Ohio senator and author of Hillbilly Elegy, a memoir about the struggles of the white working class, as his running mate was a move to win over a key constituency, although Vance’s failure to connect with audiences at recent rallies may be causing the former president some regret.
Harris is expected to reveal her vice-presidential running mate before a rally in Pennsylvania on Tuesday. The location has fuelled speculation that it will be that state’s governor, Josh Shapiro, although Harris’s aides have cautioned against reading too much into the connection.
Two other state governors, Tim Walz of Minnesota and Andy Beshear of Kentucky, are also reported to be serious contenders for the post. Either would probably play well in key rust belt constituencies. But the appeal of Shapiro lies in his strong approval ratings even among some Republicans and his defeat of a Trumpist rightwinger, Doug Mastriano, by a wide margin in the governor’s race two years ago.
Harris has also made Michigan’s governor, Gretchen Whitmer, a campaign co-chair after she ruled herself out of the vice-presidential contest. Whitmer will be a valuable asset in keeping the campaign focused on the issues that matter to midwestern voters after she defeated a Trump-backed candidate by 11 points in 2022 while Democrats took control of the Michigan state legislature for the first time in 45 years.
All of this is a tacit acknowledgment of how badly wrong Clinton’s campaign got it in 2016. She was the first Democratic presidential candidate since the late 1980s to lose the three blue wall seats. Her defeat can in part be attributed to a mix of hostility to elitism in general and the Clintons in particular, a perception compounded by controversies surrounding her speeches to Wall Street firms and other wealthy groups.
All of this is a tacit acknowledgment of how badly wrong Clinton’s campaign got it in 2016. She was the first Democratic presidential candidate since the late 1980s to lose the three blue wall seats. Her defeat can in part be attributed to a mix of hostility to elitism in general and the Clintons in particular, a perception compounded by controversies surrounding her speeches to Wall Street firms and other wealthy groups.
Her campaign focused on urban voters and too often neglected rural and working-class whites who felt left behind by globalisation and free trade policies that saw jobs exported. Union officials complained that Clinton’s team failed to listen to advice to talk more about protecting jobs from unfair competition by China and less about gun control.
Trump, on the other hand, tapped into rust belt grievances by promising to renegotiate trade deals, bring back manufacturing jobs and “drain the swamp” of Washington politics.
On election day, voter turnout among key demographics in the rust belt, including Black voters, was lower than expected for Clinton in contrast to real enthusiasm for Trump.
Four years later, Trump’s vote went up substantially in all three states but he lost them because voters who stayed away when Clinton was on the ticket came out for Biden. But as Biden’s disastrous debate performance in June shifted the focus on to his health and fitness for office, there was a real risk that enough voters would stay away again to deliver Trump back into the White House.
Harris has been the presumptive nominee for less than two weeks but has already gained ground against Trump in all but one of the seven swing states. One poll shows her doing better than Biden in the rust belt and as neck and neck with Trump in the three key states. Another poll puts Harris 11 points ahead in Michigan and two in Wisconsin although she trails Trump by four points in Pennsylvania.”
MORE AT:
The
Guardian
Hoping to avoid Clinton’s 2016 mistakes, Harris courts three ‘rust belt’ states
‘Blue wall’ states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin could decide the outcome of November’s election
Sun 4 Aug 2024 06.00 EDT
***
WHAT I WROTE:
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Trump could easily win PA in November’s Election
When Obama ran in 2008 Gov. Rendell supported Clinton. Mostly, I think, because he thought Obama would win in Philly but not much of the rest of Pennsylvania.
Governor Rendell’s line of thought dates back to President Andrew Jackson:
“SINCE Donald J. Trump shot to the top of Republican polls last fall, pundits have tried to make sense of his popularity. He has been described as a modern-day product of reality-TV narcissism, or the second coming of European fascism. But as he cruises into the South Carolina primary after beating his rivals by double digits in New Hampshire, it’s clear that neither idea quite explains his strength.
Mr. Trump’s rhetoric resonates with a particular American political tradition. Voters may not know the details of that tradition, but they feel it viscerally when a politician taps into it. Mr. Trump has done just that by emulating a classic model of American democratic leadership.
A clue as to just which leadership model can be found on a map. While Trump fans are spread across the country, they are heavily concentrated in and near the Appalachian states — from Mississippi and Alabama all the way to western Pennsylvania and New York. The northwest corner of South Carolina is one of the most pro-Trump parts of the country…
Consciously or not, Mr. Trump’s campaign echoes the style of Andrew Jackson, and the states where Mr. Trump is strongest are the ones that most consistently favored Jackson during his three runs for the White House.”
MORE AT:
New York Times
Donald Trump’s Secret? Channeling Andrew Jackson
By STEVE INSTEP FEB. 17, 2016
When you look at the 1824 electoral map of Pennsylvania county by county things haven’t changed much.
See the map at:
Why did Pennsylvania support Andrew Jackson so strongly in the US 1824 presidential election?
Jackson carried Pennsylvania with 76.1% of the vote.
I don’t believe Trump will get numbers that Jackson did.
In a Trump vs. Clinton general election, I think Trump would win Pennsylvania.
Governor Rendell's reasoning that Obama could not win Pennsylvania but Clinton would win has been turned around.
>————————————————————-<
It’s not a poll, but Republicans that I see when I'm out and about like Donald Trump as president over the other Republicans. They are mostly college educated professionals, not John Birch Society Crackers.
Chester, Lancaster and Delaware Counties have, by the way, a considerable number of JBS type Cracker White Supremacists. For instance, Colin Hanna, http://letfreedomringusa.com/about/
And this guy:
>————————————————————-<
No matter what the DC Beltway says, I think Trump is a shoe in for the GOP Presidential Nominee.
Republicans have no “super delegates” like the Democratic Party. Primary elections are final on the GOP side.
>————————————————————-
That thing about Governor Rendell thinking Obama would not win Pennsylvania has been turned around in this election.
Donald Trump may have his strongest support nationally and in Pennsylvania from the very same kind of Democrats that, back in 2008, Governor Rendell envisioned voting for Hillary Clinton and not Barack Obama.
“Donald Trump holds a dominant position in national polls in the Republican race in no small part because he is extremely strong among people on the periphery of the G.O.P. coalition.
“He is strongest among Republicans who are less affluent, less educated and less likely to turn out to vote. His very best voters are self-identified Republicans who nonetheless are registered as Democrats. It’s a coalition that’s concentrated in the South, Appalachia and the industrial North, according to data provided to The Upshot by Civis Analytics, a Democratic data firm.
MORE AT:
New York Times
Donald Trump’s Strongest Supporters: A Certain Kind of Democrat
Posted by James Pitcherella at 10:09 PM
***
Thursday, July 4, 2019
I worked with the Kerry campaign. Their paid staff were compassionate, caring and considerate of others. People here routinely walk between moving cars. I noticed that Benari Poulten @BenariLee was extremely careful driving through Coatesville’s streets.
The Obama for President paid staff were amazing. They had human compassion I hadn’t seen since I was involved with Father John McNamee in Philadelphia. In particular Omar Woodard @OmarWoodard was an outstanding campaign manager and outstanding human being.
Obama 08 was an exciting time in Coatesville, PA
Clinton’s paid staff were robots working on laptops.
A staff member looked up when I asked if they noticed the Coatesville PD across the street and said he did. I told them that 6 hours before they opened that morning there was a double murder. He giggled and went back to his laptop.
We are accustomed to gunfire in Coatesville Most people know to get down. I was warning the Clinton people that there would probably be retaliation for the double murder.
I never expected indifference to the violent deaths across the street and the possibility of more gunfire.
There was retaliation and more gunfire just down 6th Avenue.
SEE:
Police tape was across the street from Clinton Campaign Headquarters in 2016 at Coatesville, PA. I came in early, told them be careful there was a double murder across the street & might be retaliation. They looked up, giggled & went back to their laptops.
"In a news release, the Coatesville Police Department said detectives are investigating whether Wylie's shooting death is related to a double homicide at about 3:20 a.m. Wednesday in a rear apartment on the 500 block of East Lincoln Highway. The apartment is about a block away from the alley where Wylie was found.
In Wednesday's double homicide, police have said that David Wayne Fitzsimmons, 56, of Coatesville, and William Chance, 46, of Philadelphia or Coatesville, died after being shot."
MORE AT:
Man, 50, shot dead in Coatesville; police see possible link to earlier double killing
by Julie Shaw, Posted: September 29, 2016
Posted by James Pitcherella at 2:50 PM
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