How many of Pennsylvania voters will be dead by the April 28, 2020 Primary?

In my experience in our usual low turnout primary elections in Coatesville, PA more than one half of voters that actually vote are 60 and older. Sadly many of those voters might be dead or too afraid of dying to vote on April 28th. And I could be one of them.


I think the graph below like everything concerning the CDC may not be up to date:

I’m frustrated by black voters in Coatesville who proudly proclaim “I vote for the president.” Meaning they vote once every for years in November presidential elections. Myself and several of my black friends just can’t make black voters understand that most times the critical elections are the primary elections between presidential elections. Older Republicans vote in every election. It's how the GOP came to dominate Pennsylvania politics.


About 10% of Pennsylvania’s 12.8 million residents are aged 60 and older.

22.8 % of Italians are 60 and older. It’s why Italy has a 5% death rate from COVID-19.

Italy 22.8 percent as of 2019 population of 60 and older. 

Most voters are older people. Because old people usually die sooner than young people (war can change that) the electorate is expected to change. But could it happen all at once in the Spring of 2020?

Differences in turnout rates again matter when talking about generations and should be kept in mind as election season gets underway. Since older adults are more likely to turn out to vote, it’s possible that older generations will form a larger share of actual voters in 2020 than their share in the electorate. That’s what happened in 2016: Even though Boomers and older generations accounted for 43% of eligible voters, they cast 49% of the ballots.

FROM:

Pew Research Center Social & Demographic Trends.

An early look at the 2020 electorate

January 30, 2019

What I am saying is although the Pennsylvania Primary Election on April 28, 2020 is well publicized about one half of the usual voters might not show up because they died or are afraid of dying.

I'm not good at math. Someone should look deeper into this.

It's only about 48 days until we'll know what happens.

"The fractured response “has everything to do with the way we fund disaster preparedness,” said Nicolette Louissaint, an expert in global health and pharmaceutical trade policy and the executive director of Healthcare Ready, an organization focused on meeting patient needs before, during, and after disease outbreaks and catastrophic events. “What we haven’t yet done as a nation is to determine and agree to what the baseline funding level should be in order to make sure that the nation is sufficiently protected for disasters and disease outbreaks.” While Louissant described the U.S. government as chronically failing to prepare for epidemics, she said the problem has intensified in the last three years."

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