It's just a considered opinion:
The Democratic side is easy, it's Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton is supported by the Democratic National Committee and some big shot Democrats but most ordinary Democratic Committee people I know support Sanders.
Sanders has certain support from base Democratic voters.
Union members support Sanders or Trump. But not anyone else including Hillary Clinton. Union leaders know this.
The Black support for Hillary Clinton is on a thin edge. Black support for Hillary Clinton comes from Black men who think Bill Clinton will run everything behind the scenes.
The battle between Hillary Clinton's staff is often the Clinton Campaign's biggest battle, putting winning elections off to the side.
It's tougher on the GOP side:
The only constant in GOP elections is inconsistency.
Most journalists reporting on Republicans in 2016 are missing the main ingredient in the 2016 GOP, right wing extremism.
In this election most political writers are drowning in a sea of ignorance when they try making sense of Republican politics. Journalists that cover the 2016 elections desperately need a crash course in U.S. right wing extremism.
The best sources are:
Trump seems to embrace U.S. Nazis. Attacks on journalists by neo-Nazis may have begun. A terrorist attack at a rally could cool off GOP extremism.
The Bundy arrests could spark another Oklahoma City level attack. If that happens the lights will go out in many GOP candidates campaigns and not only the presidential campaigns.
Based on today February 4, 2016 this is my attempt on predicting the 2016 Presidential GOP Election:
Both Trump and Cruz appeal to the 2/3 of Republicans that want an authoritarian Mussolini type president. No Republican outside that mold has a chance.
Cruz has more billionaires on his side right now but no one can stand being close to Cruz. People seem to know Cruz is a cruel sadist. Maybe there's an odor?
Christi is a perfect Mussolini, except Gov. Christi is more like Stalin. Christi will throw you under the bus on a whim. Everyone knows this. And Christie's Bridgegate has new momentum.
Trump is a Mussolini who wants to be your friend. I think he's the nominee.
If is Clinton and any Republican except Trump, voters will say, "Anyway you look at it you lose" and not vote.
This is the campaign issue for 2016:
VIRULENT HATRED OF WALL STREET BANKERS
The banker man grows fatter, the working man grows thin
It's all happened before and it'll happen again
It'll happen again, they'll bet your life
I'm a Jack of all trades and, darling, we'll be alright
Now sometimes tomorrow comes soaked in treasure and blood
Here we stood the drought, now we'll stand the flood
There's a new world coming, I can see the light
I'm a Jack of all trades, we'll be alright
So you use what you've got, and you learn to make doFROM:
You take the old, you make it new
If I had me a gun, I'd find the bastards and shoot 'em on sight
I'm a Jack of all trades, we'll be alright
I'm a Jack of all trades, we'll be alright
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